TROPICS · NHC ATLANTIC + GULFbuilt Oct 12 07:38 ET
GULF / ATLANTIC WATCH20% / 7 DAYS
Eastern Atlantic disturbance near Cabo Verde Islands remains low chance to develop
Updated Mon Oct 12 7:38 AM ET — No change in formation odds; rainfall wording updated
What changed
- Formation chance unchanged at 20% (48hr and 7-day)
- Rainfall threat narrowed to western Cabo Verde Islands
- Added mention of possible flooding there
- Describes showers now on east side of low
Energy read
System is far from the Gulf and poses no threat to offshore production, LOOP, refining, or LNG terminals. Nothing to watch here for Gulf energy infrastructure at this time.
Auto-written from the NHC text when the outlook changes. Not a forecast.
Map refreshes on NOAA's side every 6 h (2a / 8a / 2p / 8p ET). Next outlook due 8:00 AM ET.
NHC outlook text (verbatim)
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Eastern Tropical Atlantic: An elongated area of low pressure centered a few hundred miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce a large but disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms, which are occurring on the east side of the low, extending toward the westernmost Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions appear, at best, marginally conducive for any development of this system during the next day or two before upper-level winds become too strong for any further development. Regardless, heavy rainfall is expected to continue for the next day or two across western portions of the Cabo Verde Islands, and some flooding is possible there as the system moves slowly northward to north-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Issued 800 AM EDT Mon Oct 12 2026
Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center · nhc.noaa.gov
Checked every 15 minutes; this page changes only when NHC's wording or an advisory number changes.
Checked every 15 minutes; this page changes only when NHC's wording or an advisory number changes.