TROPICS · NHC ATLANTIC + GULFbuilt Oct 11 19:23 ET
GULF / ATLANTIC WATCH20% / 7 DAYS
Disorganized low near Cabo Verde Islands, low formation chance, no Gulf threat
Updated Sun Oct 11 7:23 PM ET — System position shifted, formation odds unchanged

What changed

Energy read

Gulf production, LOOP, Gulf Coast refining and LNG terminals are not in play; this system is in the eastern tropical Atlantic near Cabo Verde. Watch for any westward track development over the next week, but no near-term Gulf risk.
Auto-written from the NHC text when the outlook changes. Not a forecast.
NHC OUTLOOK MAP
NHC graphical tropical weather outlook for the Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf
Map refreshes on NOAA's side every 6 h (2a / 8a / 2p / 8p ET). Next outlook due 8:00 PM ET.

NHC outlook text (verbatim)

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Eastern Tropical Atlantic: An elongated area of low pressure centered a few hundred miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large but disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms, extending from these islands southwestward into the eastern tropical Atlantic. Environmental conditions appear only marginally conducive for some development of this system over the next day or two before upper-level winds become too strong for any further development by midweek. Regardless, heavy rainfall is expected over the next few days for portions of the Cabo Verde Islands as the system moves slowly northward to north-northwestward.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Issued 800 PM EDT Sun Oct 11 2026
Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center · nhc.noaa.gov
Checked every 15 minutes; this page changes only when NHC's wording or an advisory number changes.