TROPICS · NHC ATLANTIC + GULFbuilt Oct 06 16:53 ET
GULF / ATLANTIC WATCH1 ACTIVE · 100%
TD Nine active in Gulf; outlook wording for AL92 unchanged
Updated Tue Oct 6 4:53 PM ET — Tropical Depression Nine formed, advisory 001 issued
What changed
- NHC outlook text identical to previous version
- Active storm list now shows Tropical Depression Nine, advisory 001, 30 kt
- Formation chances still near 100% for 48hr and 7-day
- System still expected to turn north/northeast toward northern Gulf Coast
Energy read
TD Nine is now a named system in the Gulf, raising near-term risk to offshore production, LOOP operations and Gulf Coast refining as it tracks toward the northern Gulf Coast. Watch upcoming advisories for track and intensity changes that could affect platforms, refineries, or LNG terminals from the Florida Panhandle to Louisiana.
Auto-written from the NHC text when the outlook changes. Not a forecast.
Active Atlantic storms
| Storm | Wind | Pressure | Position | Latest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression Nine | 35 mph | 1007 mb | 22.1N 95.6W | adv 001 |
Map refreshes on NOAA's side every 6 h (2a / 8a / 2p / 8p ET). Next outlook due 8:00 PM ET.
NHC outlook text (verbatim)
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Southwestern Gulf of America (AL92): Satellite images and surface observations indicate that showers and thunderstorms are becoming better organized while surface pressures are gradually falling. If these trends continue, advisories will likely be issued on this system later today or tonight while it moves slowly eastward. The low pressure area could bring gusty winds and areas of heavy rain to the western portions of the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico in a couple of days. The disturbance is expected to turn to the north or northeast toward the northern Gulf Coast by the end of the week. It is still too early to determine specific impacts to the northern Gulf Coast, but interests from the Florida Panhandle to Louisiana should closely monitor the progress of this system. The NOAA Gulfstream jet is en route to sample the environment over the Gulf this afternoon and Air Force and NOAA reconnaissance aircraft are scheduled to investigate the system tomorrow. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...near 100 percent.
Issued 200 PM EDT Tue Oct 6 2026
Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center · nhc.noaa.gov
Checked every 15 minutes; this page changes only when NHC's wording or an advisory number changes.
Checked every 15 minutes; this page changes only when NHC's wording or an advisory number changes.