TROPICS · NHC ATLANTIC + GULFbuilt Oct 11 01:38 ET
GULF / ATLANTIC WATCH1 ACTIVE · 20%
Cabo Verde low has 20% formation chance in 7 days; no Gulf threat
Updated Sun Oct 11 1:38 AM ET — New system near Cabo Verde Islands added, low formation chance

What changed

Energy read

No Gulf production, LOOP, refining, or LNG terminals are in play; the only active disturbance is near the Cabo Verde Islands with low development odds. Watch for any westward track changes or upgraded formation chances in coming NHC updates.
Auto-written from the NHC text when the outlook changes. Not a forecast.

Active Atlantic storms

StormWindPressurePositionLatest
Potential Tropical Cyclone Isaias23 mph1009 mb35.0N 86.7Wadv 018
NHC OUTLOOK MAP
NHC graphical tropical weather outlook for the Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf
Map refreshes on NOAA's side every 6 h (2a / 8a / 2p / 8p ET). Next outlook due 2:00 AM ET.

NHC outlook text (verbatim)

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems: The Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Post-Tropical Cyclone Isaias, located inland over Tennessee.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic: An elongated area of low pressure centered about 100 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large but disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms extending from near those islands southward for several hundred miles.  Some development of this system is possible during the next couple of days while the low north-northwestward before upper-level winds become too strong for development by midweek.  Very heavy rainfall is also possible during the next few days over portions of the Cabo Verde Islands regardless of whether the system ever becomes a tropical cyclone.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.

* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Issued 200 AM EDT Sun Oct 11 2026
Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center · nhc.noaa.gov
Checked every 15 minutes; this page changes only when NHC's wording or an advisory number changes.