TROPICS · NHC ATLANTIC + GULFbuilt Oct 13 07:23 ET
ATLANTIC OUTLOOKQUIET
Eastern Atlantic low near Cabo Verde Islands no longer expected to develop
Updated Tue Oct 13 7:23 AM ET — Formation chance cut from 10% to near 0%
What changed
- Formation chance through 48 hours lowered from 10% to near 0%
- Formation chance through 7 days lowered from 10% to near 0%
- System reclassified from elongated low to low pressure trough
- NHC states further development 'no longer expected' vs previously 'unlikely'
Energy read
No Gulf of America system exists; offshore Gulf production, LOOP, Gulf Coast refining, and LNG terminals are not in play. Watch only for any new NHC mention of Gulf or Caribbean development in future outlooks.
Auto-written from the NHC text when the outlook changes. Not a forecast.
Map refreshes on NOAA's side every 6 h (2a / 8a / 2p / 8p ET). Next outlook due 8:00 AM ET.
NHC outlook text (verbatim)
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A low pressure trough located several hundred miles west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Further development of this system is no longer expected as the low moves slowly northward to north-northwestward within an area of strong upper-level winds. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.
Issued 800 AM EDT Tue Oct 13 2026
Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center · nhc.noaa.gov
Checked every 15 minutes; this page changes only when NHC's wording or an advisory number changes.
Checked every 15 minutes; this page changes only when NHC's wording or an advisory number changes.